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View Full Version : The CA exit polls


GA Russell
October 8th, 2003, 11:29 AM
Looking at the exit polls of yesterday's CA election in this morning's USA Today, I see some interesting stats:

Tom McClintock got 14% of the women's vote, but only 11% of the men's. Conservatives are supposed to do much better among men than women.

McClintock got 6% of black votes and 19% of "other". Six percent of blacks in CA will vote for the conservative? That sounds very high. Is the "other" the Orientals?

Cruz Bustamante got 65% of the black vote, while the next governor got only 17%. But maybe that 17% figure is high for a non-Democrat.

Bustamante got only 52% of his own people, the Hispanic vote.

Peter Camejo got 9% of the 18-29 vote. That's a huge number! Camejo also got 10% of the "less than $15,000" vote. I'm guessing that those are college students.

Bustamante got 6% of the Republican vote. Why would anyone who would vote for Bustamante consider himself to be a Republican?

Arnold got 53% of those who rarely/never vote. Thus the high turnout.

Arnold also got 52% of $75,000-99,999; and 50% of $100,000 or more. McClintock got 14% and 13%, respectively. I would have thought that McClintock would have gotten more votes from the people who have money and education; but McClintock did best (15%) with the "Some college/Associate degree" group.

RDK
October 8th, 2003, 12:47 PM
Originally posted by GA Russell
Bustamante got 6% of the Republican vote. Why would anyone who would vote for Bustamante consider himself to be a Republican?



This likely has little to do with which political "side" one is on. A lot of people on both sides of the aisle thought that this election was an abuse of the recall process. I wouldn't be surprised if some Republicans voted to keep Davis in office just because they didn't think the recall was fair. I'm generally a Dem, but I despise Davis and didn't vote for him last year. But I nevertheless voted against the recall.

At the same time, I bet more than a few Hispanic Republicans (yeah, there are some!) chose Bustamante just because he's Hispanic. Race/heritage beating out political persuasion in some cases...